Affected by various factors, it is expected that in 2023, China's steel market demand will be strong internally and externally weak, the release pressure of steel production is still relatively large, and the price will continue to fluctuate in a wide range. There is no overwhelming unilateral tendency. It is estimated that there is a difference of about 1,000 RMB/Ton between the trough and the peak of the steel products price in the whole year, but the price center position may move up.
According to data calculations, the national statistical output of crude steel in 2022 will drop by about 2% year-on-year. Against the background of the steady release of domestic demand and continued shrinkage of imports, it is expected that there is not much room for crude steel production to continue to decline in 2023. It is estimated that the national crude steel statistical output may reach 1.01 billion tons in 2023, with a year-on-year change of about 1%.
Judging from the month-on-month situation throughout the year, if there is no large-scale winter storage at the end of this year, there will be a wave of rising prices in spring, and then fall back. Price levels in the year's first half were higher than in the second half.
